Thursday, February 22, 2007

Protection Myth

From WSJ: A New Study Shows How Baseball Myths Can Hurt the Game

JC Bradbury claims that having good batters following strong hitters decreases the walk rate as the consequences of having a man on base with a good batter hitting are higher than consequences of having a weak hitter up. This seems to make sense but might not be true for outliers - extremely good hitters (e.g. Bonds in 2001) - as the risk of the batter hitting a home run far outweigh the risk of pitching to a good hitter with a man on first. I wonder if the study was controlled for this factor.

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